Bitcoin hloov pauv ua ntej ntawm FOMC lub rooj sib tham!JPMorgan: Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam tuaj yeem nce siab yog tias cov paj laum nce siab los ntawm 50 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus

Nyob rau ua ntej ntawm lub rooj sib tham FOMC,lub cryptocurrencykev lag luam, uas tau nce ob peb hnub dhau los, hloov pauv hloov pauv.Tom qab nce mus txog $ 21,085 ntawm 29th,Bitcoin (BTC)poob rau $ 20,237 nag hmo, thiab tau tshaj tawm txog $ 20,568 raws li lub sijhawm kawg, ze li 24 Lub sijhawm nce ntxiv yog 0.52%;ether (ETH)yog ntawm $1,580, nce 1.56% hauv 24 teev dhau los.

Fed yuav tshaj tawm nws qhov kev txiav txim siab paj laum thaum 2:00 teev sawv ntxov Beijing lub sijhawm 3rd.Raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Fed Watch Tool ntawm Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), kev ua lag luam tam sim no cia siab tias Fed yuav txiav txim siab nce cov paj laum los ntawm 3 yards rau 3.75% lub lim tiam no.Muaj 87.2% txoj hauv kev ntawm 4.00% tus nqi nce thiab 12.8% txoj hauv kev ntawm 2-yard tus nqi nce mus rau 3.50% rau 3.75%.

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Lwm cov ntaub ntawv tsim nyog tau txais kev saib xyuas yog tias Tebchaws Meskas yuav tshaj tawm cov nyiaj tsis ua liaj ua teb rau lub Kaum Hli thaum 20:30 Beijing lub sijhawm 4th.Raws li FXStreet cov ntaub ntawv, kev ua lag luamtam sim nokwv yees tias tus naj npawb ntawm cov nyiaj ua haujlwm tsis yog ua liaj ua teb yuav nce 200,000, uas yog qis dua li yav dhau los Cov nyiaj poob haujlwm yuav tsum nce mus rau 3.6% los ntawm 3.5%.

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Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam tuaj yeem nce siab yog tias cov paj laum nce 2 yards

Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, raws li "Bloomberg", JPMorgan lub tuam txhab kev lag luam tau kwv yees tias yog Fed txiav txim siab nce tus nqi paj tsuas yog 2 yards lub lim tiam no, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerome Powell (Jerome Powell) tau hais tias nws txaus siab zam ntawm kev sib tham tom qab xov xwm. kev sib tham.Nrog kev nce nqi siab thiab kev ua lag luam nruj, S&P 500 tuaj yeem nce siab tsawg kawg 10% hauv ib hnub.

Pab pawg JPMorgan Chase, suav nrog tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Andrew Tyler, bluntly hais nyob rau hauv ib daim ntawv teev cov neeg siv khoom rau hnub Monday tias qhov xwm txheej zoo li no yuav yog "qhov tsawg tshaj plaws" tab sis yuav yog "qhov kev txhawb siab tshaj plaws" rau cov tub ua lag luam.Hauv 6 hnub ntawm Fed kev txiav txim siab dhau los, S&P 500 tau nce plaub zaug thiab poob ob zaug.

JPMorgan cia siab tias Fed tseem yuav nce nqi ntxiv los ntawm 3 yards lub lim tiam no, raws li kev kwv yees nruab nrab ntawm cov kws tshawb fawb kev lag luam los ntawm Bloomberg, thiab Andrew Tyler pab pawg pom tias muaj feem tsawg ntawm lwm yam xwm txheej.

Hais txog S&P 500 kev kwv yees, tsab ntawv ceeb toom tau sau tias: Cov txiaj ntsig tau skewed mus rau upside, raws li peb ntseeg tias kev ua lag luam muaj qhov laj thawj zoo los rov ntsuas qhov qis dua lub lim tiam dhau los vim qhov kev poob siab ntawm cov khoom siv thev naus laus zis loj, tab sis tseem nce ntxiv.Lub ntsiab lus ntawm kev sib tham yog, sim txheeb xyuas leej twg yog tus neeg muag khoom ntxiv, thiab peb ntseeg tias qhov kev pheej hmoo / nqi zog yog skewed mus rau upside.

Ntawm no yog pab pawg JPMorgan Chase qhov kev kwv yees rau qhov kev coj ua ntawm S&P 500 ntawm Fed hnub txiav txim siab:

● 2-yard tus nqi nce mus thiab tom qab-dovish xov xwm: S&P 500 nce 10%-12%

● 2-yard tus nqi nce mus thiab tom qab kev sib tham xov xwm: S&P 500 nce 4% txog 5%

● 3-yard tus nqi nce mus thiab tom qab-dovish xovxwm sablaj (thib ob feem ntau yuav): S&P 500 nce 2.5%-3%

● 3-yard tus nqi nce mus thiab tom qab kev sib tham xov xwm (feem ntau yuav): S&P 500 nqis 1% kom nce 0.5%

● 4-yard tus nqi nce mus thiab tom qab-dovish xov xwm: S&P 500 nqis 4% mus rau 5%

● 4-yard tus nqi nce thiab tom qab-hawk xovxwm sablaj: S&P 500 nqis 6% mus rau 8%


Post lub sij hawm: Nov-11-2022